آموزش فاندامنتال به زبان ساده قسمت ۱۵| تأثیر داده خرده‌فروشی و سفارشات کالاهای بادوام در فاز انبساطی

Hello my dear friends, good time, I am at your service with another part of the Fundamental Education in Simple Language. In the previous parts, we talked a lot, which you should go and see. I can't give a small summary of it now. There was a lot of data exchanged between us, which you

should definitely see the previous part. But in the last part, which was the fourteenth part if I'm not mistaken, we talked about the impact of GDP and PMI data on the conditions of the game before reaching the neutral interest rate. What is the interest rate of Khansa? I said all this in previous meetings, my dears. Now we want to examine these two

data points in the context of the situation after reaching neutral interest rates, and then we will move on to the sales and the long-term outlook. In this section, the GDP and PMI data have exactly the opposite effect in the context after reaching neutral interest rates compared to the context before reaching neutral interest rates. I'll

come back here to talk about the neutral interest rate and all this, so that you don't get confused. When you think about interest rates, let's take the US interest rate as an example. The neutral interest rate is 3.25%. Okay, we're going down step by step from here and we want to reach the

neutral interest rate. When we're in this range now, that is, still between 3.25 and 3.25, we haven't ruled this out. There's GDP and PMI. For example, over the next week, we have ten or so GDP or PMI data that are going to be released. For example, if GDP comes down or PMI comes up, it can have a negative or reverse effect on the relevant range. On

the contrary, if GDP comes up better or PMI comes down a little bit, at least it won't cause a drop in supply. I've already explained this negative and this arrow that we put here. Now think about it, we've passed this neutral interest rate, which means that the interest rate has come down so many steps that the rate has gone up. We